Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Covid-19 Numbers


There are 197 cases of Covid-19 in Arkansas, as of noon today.

There were 118 three days ago.

Some of the increase is an artifact of testing -- by which I mean we probably had more than 118 cases on March 21st -- but still.

44,183 cases nationwide. There were just over 500 cases in the USA on March 9, which is just about two weeks ago. Again, remember we weren't testing on a wide-scale yet then -- and still aren't now -- so neither number is a true reflection of how many people actually have the virus.

544 people have died. On March 9, 22 people had died.

Trump said we should all go back to our regular life on April 12. That's just about two and a half weeks from now. Remember that two weeks ago we were at 500 cases. Where do you think we will be two weeks from now?

 I don't know if Trump is serious -- everything he says is a lie, after all -- but that's clearly an unrealistic estimate.



(Source for graph)

2 comments:

Jenny F. Scientist said...

Look for when the death rates finally start to slow down. It gets rid of some/most of the testing bias.

delagar said...


Good to know.